James Madison Dukes vs. Texas State Bobcats: Predictions for College Football Showdown
A comprehensive preview of the James Madison vs. Texas State college football game, including predictions and betting insights.
The James Madison Dukes (6-1) face off against the Texas State Bobcats (3-4) in a Sun Belt showdown this Tuesday night. The Dukes enjoy a five-game winning streak, recently defeating Old Dominion 63-27 on October 18. In contrast, the Bobcats have lost their last three, including a narrow double-overtime defeat to Marshall (40-37).
Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, TX. The Dukes are currently favored by 6.5 points, with an over/under of 55.5 total points. Before placing any bets, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
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The model has simulated every FBS game 10,000 times, generating over $2,000 in betting profit for $100 players on top-rated college spread picks. As we enter Week 10, it stands with a 47-33 record on money line and over/under picks since the beginning of 2024.
James Madison vs. Texas State Odds:
| Category | Value |
|---|---|
| Spread | Dukes -6.5 |
| Over/Under | 55.5 points |
| Money Line | Dukes -254, Bobcats +206 |
| Picks | See picks at SportsLine |
| Streaming | Fubo (Try for free) |
Why James Madison Can Cover
The Dukes enter this matchup ranked fourth in scoring offense (32.3) and third in total offense (432.3) in their conference. Alonza Barnett III, their junior quarterback, boasts 1,252 passing yards with nine touchdowns, and adds 266 rushing yards with another nine touchdowns. In his last performance, Barnett III had impressive stats, including 295 passing yards and 153 rushing yards.
Defensively, James Madison excels with the best total defense (237 yards allowed) and scoring defense (15.6 points allowed) in the conference. Senior safety Jacob Thomas contributes significantly with 34 tackles, four pass deflections, two sacks, and two interceptions. Overall, the Dukes are 4-2 against the spread as favorites in 2025.
Why Texas State Can Cover
On the flip side, the Bobcats lead the Sun Belt in total yards (487.9) and total offense. Freshman quarterback Brad Jackson has tallied 1,786 passing yards alongside nine touchdowns for the season, hitting a personal record of 444 passing yards and two scores in a recent clash against Marshall. Beau Sparks, their star receiver, has made 47 catches for 674 yards and six touchdowns.
In the ground game, Lincoln Pare, a senior running back, ranks fourth in rushing yards (608) while securing a conference-leading nine rushing touchdowns.
Conclusion
The SportsLine model predicts over 67 combined points, and one side of the spread is projected to hit in more than 50% of simulations. Visit SportsLine to find out who wins this showdown.
