The inaugural 4 Nations Face-Off hockey tournament continues on Monday and the United States will be back in action when it takes on Sweden in its final matchup of round-robin play. Team USA has already clinched its spot in the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off Final and could be incentivized to rest some of its key players for the championship matchup against Canada. Sweden entered the day mathematically alive to advance to the Final, but was eliminated Monday afternoon when Canada beat Finland 5-3 in regulation.
Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Team USA is a -210 favorite (bet $210 to win $100) on the money line while Sweden is a +172 underdog in the latest USA vs. Sweden odds. The over/under is at 5.5 goals and the Americans are -1.5 favorites on the puck line (+122). Before making any Sweden vs. USA picks, be sure to see the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off predictions from SportsLine’s Matt Severance.
Why you should back Team USA
The United States is off to a dominant start, scoring a 6-1 victory over Finland in the opening match of round-robin play and then winning a 3-1 thriller over Canada on Saturday. The Americans set the tone against their biggest rivals by dropping the gloves three times in the first nine seconds of the win over Canada. After an early Connor McDavid goal, Team USA rallied to score three goals in a row to capture the victory in front of a hostile crowd in Montreal.
Jake Guentzel scored a first-period equalizer and then Dylan Larkin put the Red, White and Blue on top with a snap shot in the second period. Guentzel would add a second goal (his third of the tournament) on an empty net late in the third period to seal the victory. Connor Hellebuyck turned away 25 of the 26 shots that he faced and the Winnipeg goalkeeper has been one of the best in the NHL, though it’s possible that he might be rested along with forward Matthew Tkachuk (lower body) with Team USA already through to the final.
Why you should back Team Sweden
The Swedes lost both of their first two matchups 4-3, but did collect two points by taking Canada and Finland to overtime, showing their ability to compete with the rest of the field up to this point. The win by Canada on Monday afternoon eliminated Sweden, but it will still want to see out the tournament with a victory regardless of that outcome.
Team Sweden outshot Finland 24-21 in its overtime loss on Saturday and it was only narrowly clipped by Canada in the same category (28-26), so the ice hasn’t been heavily tilted away from the Swedes by any means. Red Wings forward Lucas Raymond leads the team with three points over the first two games.
How to make 2025 4 Nations Face-Off picks
Severance is going Over 5.5 goals. He’s also found a critical x-factor that has him jumping on one side. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins USA vs. Sweden, and what critical x-factor do you need to know about? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Sweden vs. USA puck line to jump on, all from the top NHL expert who is on a 35-11 roll.
