Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's: 2025 WCC Tournament Championship Preview
College Basketball/Sports

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's: 2025 WCC Tournament Championship Preview

An analysis of the championship game between Gonzaga and Saint Mary's in the WCC Tournament.

The 2025 West Coast Conference Tournament comes to a close on Tuesday when the No. 17 Saint Mary’s Gaels take on the Gonzaga Bulldogs in the WCC Tournament Championship Game in Las Vegas. Gonzaga is 24-8 overall and 14-4 in conference play, while St. Mary’s is 28-4 overall and 17-1 in WCC games.

The Bulldogs reach the WCC Tournament Finals by beating San Francisco 85-76 on Monday behind 27 points and 10 rebounds from Graham Ike. The Gaels advanced to the WCC Championship Game after blowing out Pepperdine 74-59, with Paulius Murauskas leading the way with 15 points and 10 rebounds.

Tipoff is set for 9 p.m. on Tuesday from the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.

Gonzaga is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s odds, while the over/under is 139.5 points per SportsLine consensus.

Before locking in any Saint Mary’s vs. Gonzaga picks, you’ll want to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 18 of the 2024-25 season on a 221-162 betting roll (+1895) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023.

Why Gonzaga can cover

The Bulldogs are 4-2 against the spread in their last six games. Gonzaga was the best offensive team in the WCC this season, averaging 87.5 points per game. The Bulldogs lost both regular season games against St. Mary’s but ranked third in the country in point differential for the season (+17.8).

Graham Ike has been a dominant force for the Zags, averaging 17.3 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. Senior guard Ryan Nembhard averages a double-double on 10.8 points and 10.0 assists per game.

Why Saint Mary’s can cover

Saint Mary’s won both head-to-head matchups against Gonzaga during the regular season, covering the spread in both games. The Gaels rank fifth in the country for points allowed per game (60.8).

Saint Mary’s has six players averaging at least 8.4 points per game, with senior guard Augustas Marciulionis leading at 14.4 points and 6.1 assists per game.

How to make Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s picks

The model has simulated the game 10,000 times. It favors the over on the point total and one side of the spread has a hit rate over 50%. See the model’s best picks at SportsLine.

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