Most NFL betting analysts, ranging from casual players to professionals, rely on a combination of advanced analytics and observational insights to develop opinions about team performance and power rankings. With months until any visual assessments are possible, this period favors data-driven evaluations for forming initial perspectives on NFL teams for the upcoming 2025 season.
New analytical methodologies are frequently emerging, albeit often laden with subjective interpretation. Analysts typically navigate these tools against a backdrop of inherent biases regarding what data holds value relative to what may be deemed extraneous.
Sportsbooks have been offering NFL futures for several weeks, with odds available on a range of outcomes including season win totals and Super Bowl odds. DraftKings Sportsbook recently introduced individual game point spreads, yielding a novel analytical framework.
R.J. White, a SportsLine NFL expert with notable finishes in prestigious betting contests, devised a dataset highlighting season-long aggregate point spreads. This amount serves as a critical snapshot of projected team performances as interpreted by oddsmakers, reflecting each team’s collective point spread compared to that of its competitors. From this data, projected season win totals for all teams have likewise been generated.
This dataset indicates a predictive strength regarding teams that might excel or falter throughout the season. For example, the Buffalo Bills are leading the forecasts, expected to win every game with an aggregate spread of -103, while the Cleveland Browns sit at +100.
Outliers tell compelling stories; the New England Patriots, after a lackluster season, are poised for a notable turnaround, partly due to offseason enhancements. Their aggregate spread implies they will contest closely with each opponent, with a projected win total of 8.59, which is a significant increase from last season.
On the opposite side, the Minnesota Vikings, who previously overperformed, are set for a decline with an aggregate spread of +5 and a projected win total of 8.31.
Find below the aggregated point spreads for all 32 NFL teams to assist in your analytical evaluations.
2025 NFL Season Aggregate Point Spreads (DraftKings/SportsLine)
| Team | Aggregate Spread | Expected Wins | 2024 Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | -103 | 11.85 | 13 |
| Ravens | -93 | 11.49 | 12 |
| Chiefs | -76 | 11.04 | 15 |
| Eagles | -71.5 | 10.86 | 14 |
| 49ers | -60.5 | 10.56 | 6 |
| Lions | -40 | 9.81 | 15 |
| Commanders | -38.5 | 9.79 | 12 |
| Broncos | -38.5 | 9.76 | 10 |
| Bucs | -38 | 9.5 | 10 |
| Rams | -36.5 | 9.74 | 10 |
| Packers | -30.5 | 9.55 | 11 |
| Chargers | -29.5 | 9.52 | 11 |
| Bengals | -24 | 9.29 | 9 |
| Patriots | -1 | 8.59 | 4 |
| Cardinals | -1 | 8.52 | 8 |
| Texans | 0 | 8.5 | 10 |
| Vikings | +5 | 8.31 | 14 |
| Seahawks | +8.5 | 8.2 | 10 |
| Bears | +10 | 8.14 | 10 |
| Jaguars | +15.5 | 7.97 | 4 |
| Dolphins | +18 | 7.89 | 8 |
| Steelers | +22 | 7.76 | 10 |
| Falcons | +23 | 7.72 | 8 |
| Cowboys | +31.5 | 7.43 | 8 |
| Colts | +44 | 7.01 | 8 |
| Panthers | +48.5 | 6.85 | 5 |
| Raiders | +55 | 6.71 | 4 |
| Titans | +58.5 | 6.52 | 3 |
| Jets | +72.5 | 6.14 | 5 |
| Giants | +81.5 | 5.79 | 3 |
| Saints | +88 | 5.63 | 5 |
| Browns | +100 | 5.26 | 3 |
R.J. White originally shared this aggregate point spread information in the SportsLine Discord server, an available resource for SportsLine members.
