Game 2 of the 2025 NBA Finals features the Oklahoma City Thunder hosting the Indiana Pacers on Sunday. The Pacers stormed back from a 15-point deficit to steal a 111-110 win over the Thunder in Game 1. Tyrese Haliburton drilled the go-ahead jumper with 0.3 seconds left, making history in the process. Tipoff for Game 2 is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are favored by 11 points, while the over/under for total points scored is 228.5, according to the latest Pacers vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Oklahoma City’s over/under for total team points is 120.5, while Indiana’s is 108.5.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the 2025 NBA Finals on a sizzling 160-118 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 24-11 (69%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Here are the model’s top-three picks for the Pacers vs. Thunder SGP on Sunday, along with our top NBA props for Game 2.

Best Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Game 2 NBA SGP (odds subject to change):

• Pacers alternate spread +6.5 (+170)
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 30 points (-290)
• Jalen Williams 5+ assists (-195)
• SGP payout: +450

Pacers alternate spread +6.5 (+170)
The Pacers go into this contest as 11-point underdogs but have the momentum after stealing Game 1. This postseason alone, they have been five points or more underdogs seven times and have covered in six cases. In addition, Indiana is 24-17-1 against the spread as an underdog and 19-11 against the spread when away.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 30 points (-290)
Gilgeous-Alexander has scored more than 30 points in three consecutive games and has achieved this in the 2025 NBA Playoffs twelve times. In Game 1, he scored 38 points.

Jalen Williams 5+ Assists (-195)
Williams has averaged 5.6 assists per game in the current playoffs and has recorded at least five assists in three straight games. He also ranks second on the team in total assists in these playoffs.

Want more NBA picks for Game 2?
You can find spread, total and money-line picks for Pacers vs. Thunder here, all from the model that has simulated every game 10,000 times. SportsLine also features top NBA picks from expert Bruce Marshall, who is on a hot streak with a record of 142-112-2 (+1880) on his last picks.