Weather Predictions for the 2025 Belmont Stakes: Top Horses to Consider for Saratoga Race Course
Explore the weather forecast for the upcoming 2025 Belmont Stakes and the leading horses to bet on in light of potentially wet conditions.
Weather has played a crucial role in the outcomes of the 2025 Triple Crown horse races and is expected to influence the upcoming Belmont Stakes as well. Rain is predicted in the morning and early afternoon on Saturday at Saratoga Race Course. Fortunately for the audience, the likelihood of rain decreases to approximately 15% by the time the race begins at 7:04 p.m. ET.
The odds for the Belmont Stakes show Sovereignty as the favorite at 2-1. He successfully navigated a muddy track during the Kentucky Derby and won by 1 1/2 lengths against Journalism in May. In contrast, though given a ‘fast’ designation leading into the Preakness, the Pimlico Race Course had experienced rain that day.
With the weather forecast clarifying, bettors are finalizing their choices. Will they choose favorites with experience on rain-soaked tracks or take a risk on an underdog like Uncaged, known for winning on sloppy surfaces?
2025 Belmont Stakes Weather Prognosis
| Day | Skies | Temperature | Rain Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday 3 p.m. ET | Cloudy | 68 | 10% |
| Saturday 5 p.m. ET | Partly Cloudy | 72 | 5% |
| Post time (7:04 p.m. ET) | Partly Cloudy | 68 | 15% |
The team at SportsLine has thoroughly vetted the 2025 Belmont contenders to determine which horses are particularly suited for muddy conditions.
Here’s a look at three horses to consider as you make your picks for the Belmont Stakes:
Sovereignty (2-1)
With only one race on an off track under his belt, Sovereignty stood out at the Kentucky Derby by managing a 105 Beyer Speed Figure on a soggy surface. He outperformed Journalism and other competitors after skipping the Preakness to prepare for this race, setting himself up for a strong performance against seven other challengers.
Crudo (15-1)
Celebrity chef Bobby Flay owns Crudo, who is participating in only his fourth career race. Though his Beyer Speed Figures lag behind the frontrunners, his Tomlinson Wet Figure of 408 suggests he excels on damp tracks.
Uncaged (30-1)
Uncaged stands out as a Belmont Stakes longshot with two victories on wet ground, posting his best Beyer Speed Figure during his debut on a muddy track at Saratoga. Despite a recent sixth-place finish at the Peter Pan Stakes, conditions could favor this horse in the Triple Crown’s final leg.
