The NBA championship will come down to a thrilling Game 7 between the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. After securing a 108-91 victory in Game 6, the Pacers (50-32) are aiming for their first championship since their 1973 ABA win, showcasing a commendable 7-4 record on the road during these playoffs. On the other hand, the Thunder (68-14) strive for their inaugural title since relocating to Oklahoma City in 2008, boasting a 10-2 home record in this postseason.

Tip-off at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. This season, the Thunder have triumphed in five of their eight encounters against the Pacers. According to the latest odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, the Thunder are favored by 7 points, with an over/under of 214.5 total points. The moneyline stands at Oklahoma City at -265 and Indiana at +215. Before finalizing any bets for the Thunder vs. Pacers match, don’t forget to check out the NBA predictions from Matt Severance, SportsLine’s top expert with a stunning 168-91 record on his picks.

Why the Thunder Can Cover

NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is key to the Thunder’s offense, coming off a 21-point effort in the Game 6 loss. In the playoffs, he has logged an average of 30 points, 6.3 assists, 5.4 rebounds, and 1.7 steals over 22 games.

Also pivotal is forward Jalen Williams, who shone with a playoff-high of 40 points in Game 5. Across 22 playoff games, he has averaged 21.5 points and 5.6 rebounds.

Why the Pacers Can Cover

Several Pacers players are consistently scoring in double figures this postseason, led by power forward Pascal Siakam, who is averaging 20.7 points per game during the playoffs while dealing with a recent ankle issue. Additionally, point guard Tyrese Haliburton, despite a calf injury, is expected to contribute significantly, averaging 17.7 points and 9 assists in playoff action.

How to Make Pacers vs. Thunder Picks

Severance has locked in a confident against-the-spread pick for Game 7, suggesting to lean toward the Under total. For the latest expert insights, click here to see what factors will influence the outcome.