Shane van Gisbergen solidified his status as the premier road racer in the NASCAR Cup Series by securing a victory last week in Chicago. This week, he will tackle another road course in the 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway. The 36-year-old from New Zealand is favored at +140 odds and aims for his third road win this season, adding to his total of four career road victories.
Kyle Larson, the defending champion at Sonoma with two wins in the last four races, follows closely at +600 in the odds.
The race is set to begin at 3:30 p.m. ET, covering 110 laps on a 12-turn, 1.99-mile course. Before making your selections for NASCAR DFS lineups on platforms like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, check out the latest predictions based on SportsLine’s proven projection model.
This model, crafted by Fantasy professional Mike McClure, simulates each race 10,000 times, factoring in track history and recent performance.
McClure’s model has already predicted seven winners this year, showcasing its accuracy with significant payouts like Chase Elliott’s victory in the Cook Out Clash at +300. It also aimed high with Kyle Larson’s win in Miami (+350), Christopher Bell’s NASCAR All-Star win (+600), Denny Hamlin’s success in Michigan (+650), and van Gisbergen’s win in Mexico City at +330. Those following his predictions since 2021 have enjoyed 25 total winners, providing generous returns through betting platforms.
This week, the model is particularly high on Christopher Bell despite him being a +1800 longshot in the odds provided by BetMGM. Given his solid performance this season, including several wins and top finishes, he remains a formidable contender to watch during the race.
He has posted impressive finishes in past seasons at Sonoma, and analysts are confident in his chances to be among the front runners on race day.
Additionally, the model forecasts that Ty Gibbs will excel, recommending he finishes in the top five with +200 odds at Caesars despite a tough season thus far. After a recent second-place finish in Chicago, Gibbs is gaining momentum and could be a smart choice for prop bets.
The model is also considering other drivers with longer odds, all of whom have potent chances to make a strong push for victory. To explore the complete list of predictions and odds, visit SportsLine’s website.
